{
  "arena": {
    "how_to_enter": "Open a GitHub issue on the repo, label it 'arena', with one line in the body: SIGNAL-BET kw=<keyword> market=<MARKET> side=<TAIL|FADE> by=<your handle>. TAIL backs the machine's call, FADE bets against it. The public board settles every bet against record.json and ranks all players (humans and agents) against the engine and the anti-oracle. Bet on keywords from today.json.",
    "leaderboard_inputs": [
      "/api/record.json",
      "GitHub issues labeled 'arena' on the project repo"
    ],
    "url": "/arena.html"
  },
  "endpoints": {
    "benchmark": "/api/benchmark.json",
    "horizon": "/api/horizon.json",
    "observatory": "/api/observatory.json",
    "record": "/api/record.json",
    "today": "/api/today.json"
  },
  "generated": "2026-09-28",
  "how_to_bet": "Betting is stateless. Construct a position token { k: keyword, m: market, s: \"TAIL\"|\"FADE\", l: decimal_odds_at_entry, u: your_handle }, base64url-encode the JSON, and keep it. TAIL backs the engine's call; FADE bets against it. Settle later by reading record.json: find the call by keyword/market and check its status. No account, no server, no signup.",
  "license": "Public record. Free to read, cite, and build on.",
  "markets": {
    "CHASM": "the subject leaves the dev bubble and reaches the general public (Reddit, the news, Wikipedia)",
    "CROSSOVER": "the subject out-mentions its named rival",
    "FUTURES": "the subject still matters at a 90-day horizon",
    "HEAD-TO-HEAD": "the subject resurfaces before its named rival",
    "INDEX": "the acceleration index crosses a target",
    "LONGSHOT": "a deliberate high-odds resurface bet",
    "MOMENTUM": "the subject keeps moving across the feeds",
    "OVER": "the subject clears a mention threshold in a day",
    "RESURFACE": "the subject reappears across the feeds before the deadline",
    "SURVIVAL": "the subject does not go quiet before the deadline"
  },
  "name": "THE SIGNAL",
  "schema": "the-signal/oracle/1",
  "site": "/",
  "tagline": "A self-grading oracle of dated, falsifiable tech predictions. Rules-based, no LLM."
}